Full disclosure - my original pick to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby is not running on Saturday.
Tappan Street —the Florida Derby winner conditioned by SuperTrainer™️Brad Cox—had a visually impressive workout over the Churchill Downs main track last Saturday morning. Less than an hour later, he was scratched out of the race with a condylar fracture in his right foreleg. He had surgery this week, and there’s a chance he returns to the races this fall.
I liked him (a lot) to take a step forward this Saturday and win the Derby at 10-1 or so. Alas, it was back to the drawing board, trying to find a winner and some price ideas in the 151st running of the Kentucky Derby.
And with the help of friends/guests Jessica Paquette and Dick Jerardi, that’s what we’ll try to do in this MutStack Podcast. Jess is the voice of racing at Parx Racing in PA and bets mostly on longshots. Dick is one of the best handicappers in the country and has picked countless Derby winners on this podcast over the years.
We discuss the 2025 Kentucky Derby in detail, the Derby Day Late Pick 5, the Kentucky Oaks, and a few spot plays for Friday and Saturday. We’ll give you a “Pick and a Price” in each race.
After spending the winter and spring writing about these races each week in our Derby Prep posts, hopefully, we can score out on Saturday.
The likely favorite in Derby 151 is a horse named Journalism. No spoilers, but one of us is not ready to back the Derby favorite anywhere near the top spot.
If you’re a racing fan, please feel free to share with other racing fans.
And if you’re a racing fan and in the area, join us at Mohegan Sun for their First Annual Kentucky Derby Handicapping Seminar on Thursday Night. It’s a free event, and you can get some cool giveaways with your early Derby Day bets.
Some seats are still available in the sportsbook for Oaks and Derby Day—all the details can be found here.
I’ll have a complete horse-by-horse analysis of the Derby in the Friday Four-Pack. And a special Kentucky Derby Day handicapping post on Saturday, complete with a picks grid from this podcast.
Just subscribe for free to get both in your inbox.
Feedback is welcome and appreciated. A reminder that the Substack App has a great podcast player.
Derby Day is one of the best betting days of the year, and we only have to be right a few times to win.
Thanks for listening, and good luck this weekend! Safe trips for all.
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